Daily Technical Analysis & Forecast – 25 July 2025
EURUSD Forecast
On the H4 timeframe, EURUSD has completed an upward movement reaching 1.1788. As of 25 July 2025, a downward impulse is developing, targeting 1.1676, followed by a possible pullback toward 1.1733. The pair is likely to establish a consolidation range near the recent highs. A break below this range could trigger a further decline toward 1.1555.
The Elliott wave framework and the growth wave matrix support this bearish scenario, with 1.1660 acting as the pivotal level. After hitting the upper Envelope boundary, the price is projected to decline toward the median at 1.1676, with a possible extension to 1.1633.
📉 Outlook: Bearish, with potential to reach 1.1633.
USDJPY Forecast
USDJPY has finished a corrective phase up to 147.47. The current outlook points to a continued decline toward 145.05, possibly extending to 144.40.
The Elliott wave model supports this move, with 147.07 serving as the key pivot. The price is expected to reach the lower Envelope boundary around 145.05, possibly bouncing toward the center line (147.07) before resuming its decline to 144.40.
📉 Outlook: Bearish, targeting 145.05 and possibly 144.40.
GBPUSD Forecast
GBPUSD completed an upward swing to 1.3587. Today, it is anticipated to fall toward 1.3470. A breakdown below this level may lead to a deeper drop to 1.3333.
The Elliott wave configuration, with a pivot at 1.3593, supports this downward bias. The pair is now pulling back from the Envelope’s upper boundary, and a move to the midline at 1.3460 is likely. If broken, the lower Envelope near 1.3333 becomes the next target.
📉 Outlook: Bearish, with support at 1.3470 and key level at 1.3333.
AUDUSD Forecast
AUDUSD completed an upward leg to 0.6623. A downward move is currently unfolding toward 0.6546, with a potential extension to 0.6444 upon a breakout.
The Elliott wave structure shows 0.6546 as a crucial pivot. After testing the Envelope’s upper boundary, the price is expected to return to the median and possibly break lower toward the Envelope’s bottom edge at 0.6444.
📉 Outlook: Bearish bias toward 0.6546, then 0.6444 if broken.
USDCAD Forecast
USDCAD continues an upward impulse targeting 1.3690, with a possible pullback to 1.3640 afterward.
According to the Elliott wave analysis, 1.3640 is the key pivot. The pair is trading near the central line of the Envelope (1.3660), with a further rise toward the upper boundary at 1.3690 anticipated.
📈 Outlook: Bullish, with resistance at 1.3690.
XAUUSD (Gold) Forecast
Gold is forming a downward wave with a primary target at 3,330. A rebound toward 3,383 may follow. Should the price break below the current range, an extended decline to 3,235 is possible.
The Elliott wave pattern supports this scenario with 3,385 as the pivot. The recent high of 3,430 marked the upper Envelope boundary, and a move to the lower edge at 3,330 is likely before any retracement.
📉 Outlook: Bearish, initial support at 3,330, deeper support at 3,235.
Brent Crude Forecast
Brent is consolidating above 68.50 and is expected to resume its upward movement toward 69.38, with potential to reach 71.30 upon a breakout.
The Elliott wave model indicates 68.50 as the pivot level. The price is currently stabilizing near the Envelope’s median line, with an upside breakout pointing toward the upper boundary at 71.30. A correction to 68.50 may follow after the rally.
📈 Outlook: Bullish, targeting 71.30.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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